Ebola epidemic: possible 10,000 new cases a week by December

TomoNews US 2015-04-14

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The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Tuesday that in two months time there could be up to 10,000 new Ebola cases a week.

There have now been 8,914 cases reported cases of Ebola, of whom 4,447 have died, almost all of them in West Africa. Among these cases, 16 have been treated outside Africa: seven in the U.S., three in Spain, one in France, one in the U.K., three in Germany and one in Norway, the New York Times reported.

In the US, one of the cases, Liberian Thomas Eric Duncan, died on October 8. An NBC cameraman, a hospital worker and a doctor are now under treatment, while an aid worker, a missionary and another doctor have recovered.

In Spain, a nurse's assistant who was infected with Ebola while attending a missionary priest who died at a Madrid hospital, remains in serious but stable condition. In Germany, a U.N. medical worker infected with Ebola in Liberia has died. One doctor has recovered while another is under treatment, the New York Times reported.

Bruce Aylward, the WHO assistant director-general, has put the mortality rate of the disease at 70 percent.

Thomas Frieden, director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said in September that the number of Ebola cases could reach almost a million and a half cases in four months if Ebola continues spreading without effective intervention.

In the best-case scenario, the CDC predicted in September that the total number of Ebola cases will reach 11,000 to 27,000 by January 20. In the worst-case scenario, there will be 537,000 to almost 1,400,000 cases by January 20.

The CDC’s scenarios are based on data from August and include data from Liberia and Sierra Leone but not Guinea, where counts are not reliable, the New York Times reported.

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