Russia civil unrest triggered by Wagner mercenary mutiny offers hope to Ukrainians battling invading Kremlin forces

W2W Movie 2023-06-25

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Russia civil unrest triggered by Wagner mercenary mutiny offers hope to Ukrainians battling invading Kremlin forces
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Wagner chief claims control of military headquarters in Rostov-on-Don,
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Wagner chief claims to have seized military sites

Last year, their head of military intelligence told Sky News it would finish the Russian leader and his country's unity.

Ukraine's national security chief Oleksiy Danilov said today that the Wagner mutiny had started the "process of Russia's self-destruction".

"As the war began, so it will end - in Russia," he added.

Wagner's head Yevgeny Prigozhin has said the war effort goes on even though he has, it seems, taken control of one of its key headquarters in Rostov-on-Don.

But the impact of red-on-red fighting back home on Russian soldiers in trenches facing a Ukrainian counter-offensive can only be guessed at.

Russian troops have complained bitterly that their government has armed and trained them poorly.

Moscow correspondent analyses Prigozhin videos
What's going on with Yevgeny Prigozhin?

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Sky News' Moscow correspondent analyses Prigozhin videos
They have died in their tens of thousands, many reportedly shot by their own side, and among those fighting on, morale is likely to be low.

Read more:
Dangerous Wagner boss was disaster waiting to happen for Putin
Who is Yevgeny Prigozhin and why does Putin feel threatened by him?

It remains to be seen whether they remain loyal to the Kremlin or can be seduced by Prigozhin to switch.

It is early days and nothing is quite what it seems in Russia.

But we can say for sure that this will undermine Russia's war effort, not least because thousands of its most effective fighters in the Wagner Group appear to have left the theatre of war to launch an armed rebellion on home soil.

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Play Video - Putin and Prigozhin's relationship explained
Putin and Prigozhin's relationship explained
Long term, the outlook may not be so encouraging.

Yes, Putin is most likely terminally weakened by this.

The war that he started and was meant to last a few weeks is mutating into a civil conflict.

If he is toppled his most likely successors are even more hardline than him.

They are likely to continue the war if they can.

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