Just before the Democratic National Convention in mid-August, Joe Biden led with a 51% to 42% edge over incumbent Republican President Donald Trump.
Now, both conventions are over. And according to CNN's poll of polls, Biden is still in the lead at 51% to Trump's 43%.
For Biden, the DNC was a smooth four days, in which he demonstrated that the doddering caricature of him painted by Trump was wrong.
But Trump entered his own convention with approval ratings stuck in the low 40s and running well behind Biden in most national polling.
Trump's campaign tried to play up his softer side. The RNC was liberally sprinkled with Black supporters, heavy on fear, and absolutely silent on the pandemic.
The lack of movement in the race suggests that the effort by the Trump side didn't work. At all.
In three Fox News polls released Wednesday, Trump was losing suburban women by 16 points in Arizona, 17 in Wisconsin, and 10 in North Carolina.