Voters in Rajasthan haven’t elected the same party to power for two terms in a row for the past two decades. And the exit polls seem to be predicting the continuance of the trend in these assembly elections. A party needs 100 seats to form the government in Rajasthan. Elections were held on 199 seats only. No polls took place on one seat because a candidate died.
The BJP led by Vasundhara Raje Scindia won a staggering 163 of the 200 seats in the 2013 elections. This time pollsters are predicting that even crossing the 100 mark might be problematic for the saffron party in Rajasthan.
The CVOTER-Republic TV poll predicts 52-68 seats for the BJP, 129-145 seats for the Congress and 5-11 seats for other parties. The CNX-Times Now poll is a little favourable for the BJP. It predicts 85 seats for BJP, 105 for the Congress and 9 for others.
CSDS-ABP has also predicted a majority for the Congress with 101 seats; it gives 83 seats to the saffron party and gives 15 to others.
The Axis My India – India Today poll similarly gives 119-141 seats to Congress, 55-72 seats to the BJP, and 4-11 seats to others.
Exit polls are not known to be accurate. But if the numbers hold, it could spell a spectacular comeback for Congress which managed only 21 seats in the 2013 assembly poll in Rajasthan.