U.S. midterms: Democrats favorites to win House, GOP in prime position to hold Senate

Arirang News 2018-11-02

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There's less than a week to go before the U.S. midterm elections, which will shape the remaining two years of President Trump's first term in office.
For more on this and other news around the world we turn to our Ro Aram…
Aram… how are the odds looking for both parties?

Well Mark... opinions polls suggest Democrats are favorites to win the House, while Republicans may maintain control of the Senate.
According to a Washington Post-Schar School poll, across 69 congressional districts identified as competitive in late August, 50 percent of likely voters support the Democratic candidate, while 46 percent support the Republican.
The Post says the four percentage-point difference is superficial, given the poll's 3.5-percentage point margin of error.
However, it notes the finding marks a sharp turn from 2016, when voters in these districts backed Republicans by a margin of 15 percentage points.
The paper suggests that with 63 of the battleground districts held by Republicans, that kind of shift in sentiment would be sufficient for Democrats to take control of the House.
The hurdle the Democrats face, meanwhile, is voter turnout.
The party is usually dogged by low turnout and is at greater risk of falling short of what the candidates in competitive races might need to win.
In terms of campaigns, two main issues are at the forefront of voters' minds.
The Democratic Party is focusing its campaign on healthcare, while the GOP is betting on Trump's harsh rhetoric on immigration to motivate conservative voters.
According to CNN, more than 23 million ballots have been cast already in early voting and the rest of the American public will go to the polls next Tuesday.
All 435 seats in the House are up for grabs, as well as 35 seats in the Senate, and 39 governorships.

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